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If a federal election were held today the L-NP would win, with a two-party preferred (2PP) vote of 53% (up 1% since Christmas) compared to the ALP on 47% (down 1%).
In an interesting turn of events, the shift away from the ALP to L-NP on a two-party preferred basis came directly from the Green preferences. The Greens preferences shifted from 85% ALP before Christmas to only 55% ALP this week.
Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, explained:
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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness.
Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.