If a federal election were held today the L-NP would win, with a two-party preferred (2PP) vote of 53% (up 1% since Christmas) compared to the ALP on 47% (down 1%).
In an interesting turn of events, the shift away from the ALP to L-NP on a two-party preferred basis came directly from the Green preferences. The Greens preferences shifted from 85% ALP before Christmas to only 55% ALP this week.
Michele Levine, CEO of Roy Morgan, explained: