NDIS and Aged Care continue to power job market

Advertisement

SEEK released its Employment Report for August, which revealed that the number of job ads rose 0.3% over the month, the second consecutive monthly rise.

However, the number of applicants per job ad also rose by 0.5% in July (once month lagged) and is now tracking at its second highest level on record behind May 2020 at the start of the pandemic:

SEEK employment report

The following charts plot SEEK’s data against the nation’s unemployment rate, which was 4.2% in July:

Advertisement
Seek unemployment versus job applications Seek unemployment versus job ads

Jobs & Skills Australia (JSA) also released its Internet Vacancy Index (IVI), which recorded a 4.8% (or 10,600) increase in job advertisements in August.

The following chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro plots the IVI index against Australia’s unemployment rate in July:

Advertisement
Job ads

Not surprisingly, when compared to 2019 levels, job ads in Australia grown the most in community & personal services (think NDIS & aged care):

Job vacancies by industry
Advertisement

This was also reflected in the Q2 Labour Market Account from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which revealed that government-funded jobs grew by 268,000 in 2023-24, versus only 33,000 new jobs across the market-based sector:

The below chart from CBA also shows that Australia’s healthcare & social assistance jobs have expanded at a far greater pace than other nations on the back of NDIS and aged care spending:

Advertisement
Health employment

In short, the caring sector is driving the Australian labour market and economy.

Later this morning, the ABS will release the August labour market survey.

Advertisement
About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.