Australian housing is an $11 trillion productivity sink

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Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows that the total value of homes nationwide rose to nearly $11 trillion in the June quarter, up $226 billion over the quarter:

The average home value across the nation is now more than $970,000:

Average value of dwellings
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If you have ever wondered why Australians are so “wealthy”, the above data from the ABS illustrates why.

median wealth per adult

Australia’s extreme housing valuations have created an army of paper millionaires.

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Meanwhile, Australians have buried themselves in mortgage debt, with the average size of mortgages chasing prices higher:

Average loan size and dwelling prices

As a result, Australians are carrying world-leading debt loads:

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Household debt to disposable income

Meanwhile, housing is swallowing the economy:

Housing stock to GDP

Australia’s productivity is suffering as an increasing share of our economic output is channelled into non-productive housing:

Australian labour productivity
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The reality is that Australians would be “wealthier” if our homes had never risen in value so aggressively and the average price was $465,000 instead of $970,000, and Australia’s household debt was 90% rather than 180% of income.

Younger and future Australian homebuyers would not be subjected to a lifetime of debt servitude or being trapped in the rental market.

Australia’s economy would also be more productive if our financial resources were channelled into the real economy rather than the housing Ponzi economy.

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About the author
Leith van Onselen is Chief Economist at the MB Fund and MB Super. He is also a co-founder of MacroBusiness. Leith has previously worked at the Australian Treasury, Victorian Treasury and Goldman Sachs.