AI turns to debt to fund the boom

Advertisement

The Market Ear has some concerns.


AI’s not the problem. Euphoria is

No, this isn’t a “we hate AI” note. It’s a trading technical read on a market that’s gone full parabolic. For the first time in over a year, every indicator we track in Mag7 is flashing red contrarian sell. The indicators don’t care about narratives. This isn’t a fundamental hit piece. It’s a derivatives trade – with the main focus on the complacency we see in the options markets. The Mag7 trade has become the most crowded bet on Earth, and the last time sentiment looked this one-sided, drawdowns weren’t polite. The signals are clear unfortunately — the timing never is – but we are betting it is sometime between now and January.

The full text of this article is available to MacroBusiness subscribers

$1 for your first month, then:
Cancel at any time through our billing provider, Stripe
About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.