Chinese depression deepens

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The Chinese economy remains mired in a depression. Led by the property crash, the economy is barely growing.

New home sales are still terrible.

Liquidity is still tight for developers.

Liquidity trap!

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The consumer-led recovery is a joke.

It appears there’s a shock underway in external demand as well.

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On the supply side, the economy is stalled. Coal usage is falling.

Oil usage is falling.

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Both of these will be impacted by green policies, but still.

Local government investment bonds are booming.

But with deleveraging part of the point, it does not seem to be having much impact on real investment.

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Industrial profits have not grown in six years.

This economy is not growing at 5%.

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It’s not growing at all.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.