Iron ore slaughtered

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SHFE and SGX futures were slaughtered yesterday. Steel futures are at new lows and this is the leading indicator:

Mad Dalian is also at new lows:

Coking coal too:

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Scuttlebutt is cutting:

“Last week’s blindly optimistic and irrational sentiment rally is now being rationally unwound, as the market once again comes to terms with the realization of terrible downstream steel demand-side fundamentals in China”, said Atilla Widnell, managing director at Navigate Commodities.

“Despite numerous policies aimed at stemming the downturn in house prices and corresponding losses in wealth, it looks like the market has made its peace that these measures will not directly or immediately contribute to healthier construction activity and associated steel consumption,” Widnell added.

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I reckon we are poised to go to $80.

About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.