Golden mystery solved

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Goldman with the note.


The price of gold reached an all time high in April despite higher US rates. We show that central banks drive the increase in gold demand since mid-2022, and that new geopolitical or financial shocks may push gold prices significantly higher.

EM central banks drive the gold rush. Global central bank gold purchases have tripled since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. While most central bank gold buying is unreported, six EM central banks—China, Poland, Turkey, Singapore, India, and Qatar—drive all reported net monetary buying since mid-2022.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.