I am a gold trader from way back. It is the macro metal, so I always found it relatively easy to time the market, but I no longer trust it.
The reason is BTC.
Since there is now an ersatz, digital gold, the real thing is exposed to different money flows.
There is a loose relationship between the two, but when they move, now appears much less specific:
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For those that are long gold, it is looking a little like BTC right now with the RSI going moonshot:
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As options pile in:
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Chasing BTC:
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Rather than gold triumphing over the BTC ponzi scheme and bubble, as I had hoped, the latter has undermined the former.
It’s all become far too speculative for my tastes.
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