Goodbye gold

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I am a gold trader from way back. It is the macro metal, so I always found it relatively easy to time the market, but I no longer trust it.

The reason is BTC.

Since there is now an ersatz, digital gold, the real thing is exposed to different money flows.

There is a loose relationship between the two, but when they move, now appears much less specific:

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For those that are long gold, it is looking a little like BTC right now with the RSI going moonshot:

As options pile in:

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Chasing BTC:

Rather than gold triumphing over the BTC ponzi scheme and bubble, as I had hoped, the latter has undermined the former.

It’s all become far too speculative for my tastes.

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About the author
David Llewellyn-Smith is Chief Strategist at the MB Fund and MB Super. David is the founding publisher and editor of MacroBusiness and was the founding publisher and global economy editor of The Diplomat, the Asia Pacific’s leading geo-politics and economics portal. He is also a former gold trader and economic commentator at The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, the ABC and Business Spectator. He is the co-author of The Great Crash of 2008 with Ross Garnaut and was the editor of the second Garnaut Climate Change Review.